Rising geopolitical tensions across different regions of the world are weighing on the global economy and may further deteriorate the economic outlook. In this INFER Brief, we summarize the findings of research conducted by Fabio Anobile, Francesco Frangiamore, Marco Maria Matarrese, and Jamel Saadaoui, which examines the role of geopolitical risk in shaping the distribution of future investment growth in the United States, particularly as a predictor of downside risks to investment. The brief concludes with practical policy implications and directions for future research.