Impact of Supply Chain Disruptions on Financial Leverage

This study investigates the impact of supply disruptions on financial leverage (debt-equity ratio) in the U.S. economy from 1998:Q1 to 2024:Q1. The study employs a linear and non-linear Local Projections (LP) and Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) models to explore dynamic relationships. While the LP models reveal that a supply chain shock negatively affects leverage with statistically significant results, there is no evidence of state dependence. The BVAR model suggest that a supply chain shock is disruptive via reduction (an increase) in output (inflation), accompanied by lower leverage.

Author: William; Jamel , Ginn; Saadaoui
Volume: 2024.11
Publisher: INFER
Year: 2024
No. of pages: 24
Category:
Working papers
INFER research
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