This study investigates the impact of supply disruptions on financial leverage (debt-equity ratio) in the U.S. economy from 1998:Q1 to 2024:Q1. The study employs a linear and non-linear Local Projections (LP) and Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) models to explore dynamic relationships. While the LP models reveal that a supply chain shock negatively affects leverage with statistically significant results, there is no evidence of state dependence. The BVAR model suggest that a supply chain shock is disruptive via reduction (an increase) in output (inflation), accompanied by lower leverage.
Author: | William; Jamel , Ginn; Saadaoui |
Volume: | 2024.11 |
Publisher: | INFER |
Year: | 2024 |
No. of pages: | 24 |
Category: |